The Life Cycle of a Weather Forecast

Location:

   Wolfson Lecture Theatre Room 4W 1.7
       Ground Floor
       Department of Mathematical Sciences
       4 West Building

 

Monday 6th July

Time

Monday

12.00

Registration and lunch on arrival

14.00

Plenary: Andrew Lorenc, Met Office

Title: Developments in hybrid ensemble-variational DA for NWP

14.45

Title: Parameter estimation for climate modelling

C. Cartis, University of Oxford.

15.05

Title: Compatible finite elements for NWP

C. Cotter, Imperial College London

15.25

Title: Accuracy analysis of mimetic finite volume operators on geodesic grids

P. Peixoto, University of Exeter/Sao Paulo

15.45

Tea/Coffee break

16.15

Plenary: Phil Browne, University of Reading

Title: Particle filters: nonlinearity, the curse of dimensionality and the future

17.00

Drinks Reception and poster session

18.00

Close

Tuesday 7th July

Time

Tuesday

9.45

Plenary: Mike Cullen, Met Office

Title: The physics of large-scale atmospheric circulations.

10.30

Title: Stochastic parametrisation models for GFD

D. Holm, Imperial College London

10.50

Title: Understanding physics-dynamics coupling in weather and climate models

R. Beare & M. Cullen, University of Exeter / Met Office

11.10

Title: Multilevel Monte Carlo Methods in Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling.

G. Katsiolides, University of Bath

11.30

Tea/Coffee break

12.00

Title: The use of moving meshes with semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian advection schemes

S. Cook, University of Bath

12.20

Title: Optimally transported meshes on the Sphere for Global Atmospheric Modelling

H. Weller et al. University of Reading

12.40

Title: Numerical Integration on the Sphere using an Interrupted Collignon Projection

J. van Lent, University of the West of England

13.00

Lunch

14.00

Plenary: Nils Wedi, ECMWF

Title: How to afford future global numerical weather prediction? 

14.45

Title: Development of a vertical slice model using mixed FEM discretizations

H. Yamazaki, Imperial College London

15.05

Title: GungHo! – A scalable dynamical core for weather and climate prediction

T. Melvin, Met Office

15.25

Title: Fast and parallel elliptic solvers for the Met Office's next generation forecast model

E. Mueller, University of Bath

15.45

Tea/coffee break

16.15

Plenary: David Ham, Imperial College London

Title: Automated code generation for atmospheric simulation 

17.00

Discussion on implementing models on future computer hardware

 

Panel Members:

  • Mike Ashworth (STFC)
  • Mike Cullen (Met Office)
  • David Ham (Imperial College)
  • Eike Mueller (University of Bath)
  • Nils Wedi (ECMWF)

18.00

Close

Wednesday 8th July

Time

Wednesday

9.45

Plenary: Peter Dueben, Oxford

Title: Inexact computers for more accurate forecasts: Are we over-engineering numerical precision in weather and climate models?

10.30

Title: Asymmetry in different types of ENSO and related teleconnections with the Indian Summer Monsoon

I. Roy, R. Tedeschi, M. Collins, University of Exeter

10.50

Title: An Energy Conserving Restoration Scheme for the Shallow Water Equations

J. Kent et al., University of South Wales

11.10

Title: The role of the Sun in atmosphere-ocean coupling

I. Roy, University of Exeter

11.30

Tea/Coffee break

12.00

Introducing new Journal.

Alison Paskins & Neil Scriven. Oxford University Press.

Introducing new free open access journal: Maths in industry case studies (MICS).

Chris Budd. University of Bath

12.20

Discussions

13.00

Lunch

14.00

Trip to Bath, including the Roman Baths

19.00

Conference Dinner in Aqua Restaurant, Bath

Thursday 9th July

Time

Thursday

09.45

Title: Decision Analysis and Climate: report from a CliMathNet workshop.

                                                          Peter Challenor, University of Exeter.

Title: A decision theoretic approach for issuing natural hazard warnings

                                                          Theo Economou, University of Exeter.

11.15

Tea/Coffee break

11.40

Title: Achieving seventh-order amplitude accuracy in leapfrog integrations

P. Williams, University of Reading

12.00

Title: Filtering Instability

A. Hill, University of Bath

12.20

Title: An active filter for controlling parasitism in the Leapfrog method

T. Norton & A. Hill, University of Bath

12.40

Lunch

Risk, Policy and Decision Making (in collaboration with the Institute for Policy Research at Bath)

13.40

Policy Meeting: Discussion on how can climate modellers help in assessing risk and leading policy?

 

Panel Members:

  • Vera Hazelwood, PURE
  • Briony Turner, UKCIP
  • Philippa Hemmings, EPSRC
  • Jenny Woods, IPR
  • Peter Challenor, University of Exeter
  • Peter Dueben, University of Oxford

15.10

Tea/Coffee break and poster session

15.40

Introducing new LWEC EPSRC funded Networks

17.10

Drinks Reception & Networking Session

Friday 10th July

Time

Friday

9.45

Plenary: David Stephenson, Exeter

Title: On the predictability of extremes: Does the butterfly effect ever decrease?

10.30

Title: A distribution-free ensemble post-processing method

R. Williams & C. Ferro, University of Exeter

10.50

Title: Accounting for parameter uncertainty in ensemble post-processing

S. Siegert & P. Sansom, University of Exeter

11.10

Discussion

11.30

Tea/Coffee break

12.00

Plenary: Marion Mittermaier, Met Office

Title: Limits to temperature forecast accuracy due to temporal sampling

12.45

Lunch

14.00

Depart